United Kingdom crop production and the natural environment are vulnerable to the introduction of plant diseases. The overall aim of this project is to develop a critical, inter-disciplinary appraisal of the potential impacts of plant diseases (on food and non-food species) on land use and the UK rural economy.

This will be achieved through:

  • The assessment of the likely occurrence of a catastrophic plant disease outbreak in major UK crops over the next 10-15 years 
  • An examination of the routes of transmission and epidemic foci of emerging or changing plant diseases specific to food and non-food plants through normal trade activity and natural transmission.
  • An examination of the environmental and socio-economic impacts of specific plant diseases on selected rural communities in the UK, including an assessment of alternative management strategies on individual stakeholders and community behaviour.

Overall, the project will provide a generic framework for taking a holistic approach to risk analysis, regulation and governance for plant diseases and scenario planning to inform the national response to catastrophic plant disease epidemics.

Findings from this project will be communicated through media channels (including film) in addition to conventional publications and appropriate events.



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Growing risk? : growers' perceptions of plant disease risk in the UK

Co-Investigator: Damian Maye Date: 01 July 2011 Conference paper/presentation

Governing biosecurity in a neoliberal world : comparative perspectives from Australia and the United Kingdom

Author: Damian Maye Date: 01 July 2011 Conference paper/presentation

Growing risk? : grower-agronomist relationships and plant disease management in the UK potato and wheat sectors

Author: Brian Ilbery Date: 01 July 2011 Conference paper/presentation

The UK rural economy and land use (RELU) programme : lessons for Australia and New Zealand?

Author: Brian Ilbery Date: 01 July 2011 Conference paper/presentation

Risk, farmer knowledges and disease management

Author: Damian Maye Date: 01 July 2011 Conference paper/presentation

Networks in plant epidemiology : from genes to landscapes, countries and continents

Author: Mathieu Moslonka-Lefebvre Date: 01 April 2011 Journal article

Disease spread in small-size directed trade networks : the role of hierarchical categories

Author: Marco Pautasso Date: 01 December 2010 Journal article

The number of links to and from the starting node as a predictor of epidemic size in small-size directed networks

Author: Marco Pautasso Date: 01 December 2010 Journal article

Plant health and global change – some implications for landscape management

Author: Marco Pautasso Date: 01 November 2010 Journal article

Agricultural restructuring and changing food networks in the UK

Author: Brian Ibery Date: 01 November 2010 Book chapter

The role of regulatory mechanisms for control of plant diseases and food security : case studies from potato production in Britain

Author: Katharina Dehnen-Schmutz Date: 01 September 2010 Journal article

Structural change in the international horticultural industry : some implications for plant health

Author: Katharina Dehnen-Schmutz Date: 01 May 2010 Journal article

Evolution of the international regulation of plant pests and challenges for future plant health

Author: Alan MacLeod Date: 01 March 2010 Journal article

Evolution of the international regulation of plant pests and challenges for future plant health

Author: Alan MacLeod Date: 01 January 2010 Journal article

Epidemiological risk assessment using linked network and grid based modelling : Phytophthora namorum and P. kernoviae in the UK

Author: Tim Harwood Date: 10 December 2009 Journal article

Disease spread in small-sized directed networks : epidemic threshold, correlation between links to and from nodes, and clustering

Author: Mathieu Moslonka-Lefebvre Date: 07 October 2009 Journal article

Spatio-temporal analysis on an invasive plant pathogen (Phytophthora ramorum) in England and Wales

Author: XiangMing Xu Date: 01 June 2009 Journal article

Spatio-temporal analysis of an invasive plant pathogen (Phytophthora ramorum) in England and Wales

Author: Xiangming Xu Date: 01 January 2009 Journal article

Epidemiological risk assessment using linked network and grid based modelling : Phytophthora ramorum and Phytophthora kernoviae in the UK

Author: Thomas D. Harwood Date: 01 January 2009 Journal article

Disease spread in small-size directed networks : epidemic threshold, correlation between links to and from nodes, and clustering

Author: Mathieu Moslonka-Lefebvre Date: 01 January 2009 Journal article

Epidemic threshold and network structure: the interplay of probability of transmission and of persistence in small-size directed networks

Author: Marco Pautasso Date: 01 March 2008 Journal article

Plant disease and global change : the importance of long-term data sets

Author: Mike J. Jeger Date: 01 January 2008 Journal article

Epidemic threshold and network structure : the interplay of probability of transmission and of persistence in small-size directed networks

Author: Marco Pautasso Date: 01 January 2008 Journal article

Epidemiological modeling of Phytophthora ramorum : network properties of susceptible plant genera movements in the nursery sector of England and Wales

Author: Marco Pautasso Date: 01 January 2008 Conference paper/presentation

Modelling disease spread and control in networks : implications for plant sciences

Author: Mike Jeger Date: 01 April 2007 Journal article

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Start date
31 August 2007
End date
28 February 2011
Grant holder
Professor Peter Mills
Co-applicants
Dr Stephane Pietravalle
Dr Steve Parker
Dr Alan MacLeod
Professor Michael Jeger
Mrs ESTHER KASAMBA
Dr Glyn Jones
Professor Brian ILBERY
Dr Francisco Areal
Dr Damian Maye
Grant amount
£877,183.53
Grant reference
RES-229-25-0013
Discipline
Area & Development Studies
Area and Development Studies
Grant type